AlbinoLeffe 1-0 Clodiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.07
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.7pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Clodiense EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.98/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.85
-25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
1-0
AWAY Clodiense
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Clodiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe edged past Clodiense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AlbinoLeffe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 48% of the ball to Clodiense's 52%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Clodiense?

AlbinoLeffe 1-0 Clodiense in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Clodiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 42%, draw 29%, Clodiense 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AlbinoLeffe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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