Pontedera 1-1 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2024

Pontedera
1-1 HT 1-1
Milan II
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Pontedera vs Milan II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.57
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 38% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontedera v Milan II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.18/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.00
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Pontedera 1-1 Milan II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-1
AWAY Milan II
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera and Milan II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Pontedera had 41% of the ball to Milan II's 59%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Milan II?

Pontedera 1-1 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 34%, draw 32%, Milan II 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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