Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Meppen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Meppen EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.02/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.70
+37% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Meppen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 6
23.03.2024 Meppen Meppen 1-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 4-1 HT 4-0 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Meppen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck and Meppen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.00 for Meppen.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Meppen?

Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Meppen in the Germany - Regional League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Meppen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 43%, draw 25%, Meppen 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
3 Nov 2024
15:00 Greifswalder SV vs Lokomotive Leipzig Analysis →
15:00 Babelsberg vs FSV Zwickau Analysis →
15:00 VFC Plauen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Analysis →
15:30 Meuselwitz vs Hertha Berlin II Analysis →
16:00 Todesfelde vs Jeddeloh Analysis →
16:00 St. Pauli II vs Bremer SV Analysis →