Meppen 1-0 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meppen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 34%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
2.99/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.39
+86% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meppen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
30.09.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 4-1 HT 4-0 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meppen
1-0
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Meppen vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meppen edged past Phönix Lübeck 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Meppen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Meppen had 50% of the ball to Phönix Lübeck's 50%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Meppen vs Phönix Lübeck?

Meppen 1-0 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meppen vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Meppen 37%, draw 26%, Phönix Lübeck 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meppen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meppen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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