Curzon Ashton 0-4 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 3 Nov 2024

Curzon Ashton
0-4 HT 0-2
Mansfield Town
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Curzon Ashton vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.95
6+ Goals
8%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 30% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
11.85
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
7%
19.1
X/1
9%
15.2
X/2
14%
3.62
X/X
11%
6.62
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.67
2/X
10%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+11.4pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.9pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-19.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Curzon Ashton v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 70%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-90% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards –

Curzon Ashton 0-4 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
0-4
AWAY Mansfield Town
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town ran out comfortable winners over Curzon Ashton 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 39% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 61%, shots finished 4-18.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Mansfield Town?

Curzon Ashton 0-4 Mansfield Town in the England - FA Cup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 25%, draw 28%, Mansfield Town 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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