Sutton United 0-1 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 3 Nov 2024

Sutton United
0-1 HT 0-1
Birmingham
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Sutton United vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
7.78
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
51%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.76
2-3 Goals
34%
2.04
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
16.6
1/2
5%
21.45
1/X
5%
24.85
X/1
6%
22.7
X/2
21%
3.46
X/X
8%
9.35
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.41
2/X
8%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
10%
+17.8pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.8pp
51%
Away Win
74%
-23.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 79%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-51% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
179 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 539 · 86%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Sutton United 0-1 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
0-1
AWAY Birmingham
0.29 xG 0.98
25% Ball Possession 75%
3 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
133 Passes 594
58% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 34
5 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham squeezed past Sutton United 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sutton United had 25% of the ball to Birmingham's 75%, shots finished 3-13, expected goals 0.29 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Birmingham?

Sutton United 0-1 Birmingham in the England - FA Cup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 28%, draw 21%, Birmingham 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
3 Nov 2024
15:30 Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
17:00 Curzon Ashton vs Mansfield Town Analysis →
17:00 Boreham Wood vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
18:30 Harrogate Town vs Wrexham Analysis →