Milton Keynes Dons 0-2 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 40%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.34/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/1.21
-76% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
Crosses 33.6
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
3W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.79
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
492 Passes 188
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-0 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
02.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
23.01.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 3-1 HT 3-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
09.04.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
11.01.2022 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
30.01.2021 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-2 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
0-2
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
0 Passes 0
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon got the better of Milton Keynes Dons 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Milton Keynes Dons at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 50% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 50%, shots finished 4-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.00 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon?

Milton Keynes Dons 0-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - FA Cup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 42%, draw 25%, AFC Wimbledon 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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