Harrogate Town vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Harrogate Town v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals
Harrogate Town vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Wrexham
İN2
2-1
HT 0-1
Wrexham
FAK
0-2
HT 0-1
Wrexham
İBSL
1-1
HT 1-0
Harrogate Town
İBSL
2-1
HT 1-1
Harrogate Town
İBSL
Harrogate Town 1-0 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics
Harrogate Town nicked a narrow win over Wrexham 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Wrexham at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Harrogate Town had 38% of the ball to Wrexham's 62%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.43 to 2.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wrexham.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wrexham led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.33 for Wrexham.
What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Wrexham?
Harrogate Town 1-0 Wrexham in the England - FA Cup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Wrexham?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 31%, draw 22%, Wrexham 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.