Wrexham 0-0 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Mar 2024

Wrexham
0-0 HT 0-0
Harrogate Town
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Wrexham vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.82
2-3 Goals
36%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
5.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.57
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.2
X/1
15%
3.6
X/2
6%
16.9
X/X
11%
7.85
2/1
5%
20.65
2/2
5%
12.35
2/X
5%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Wrexham win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-12.6pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.6pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +23%
1.62/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.73
+47% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
24.6 Crosses 10.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Wrexham vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
368 Passes 285
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
06.11.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham FAK
25.01.2020 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
08.10.2019 Wrexham Wrexham 1-1 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İBSL
27.04.2019 Wrexham Wrexham 2-1 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İBSL
25.09.2018 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL

Wrexham 0-0 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
0-0
AWAY Harrogate Town
0.91 xG 0.07
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
411 Passes 229
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 6
37 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham and Harrogate Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wrexham at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wrexham had 62% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 38%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 0.91 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wrexham had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wrexham and 1.00 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Harrogate Town?

Wrexham 0-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 60%, draw 23%, Harrogate Town 17%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Wrexham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
12 Mar 2024
22:45 AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham Analysis →
22:45 Newport County vs Morecambe Analysis →
22:45 Walsall vs Barrow Analysis →
22:45 Crawley Town vs Notts County Analysis →
22:45 Grimsby Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →
22:45 Tranmere Rovers vs Mansfield Town Analysis →