Auxerre 4-0 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 3 Nov 2024

Auxerre
4-0 HT 2-0
Rennes
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Auxerre vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.9
1/2
10%
23.6
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
13%
7.07
X/2
10%
4.73
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
19%
2.79
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+7.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auxerre v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.93/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.20
+30% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
18.7 Crosses 19.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Auxerre vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Rennes
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.67 xG 1.06
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
306 Passes 476
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.03.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 0-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
11.09.2022 Rennes Rennes 5-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
12.02.2014 Auxerre Auxerre 0-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FRK
11.03.2012 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
23.10.2011 Auxerre Auxerre 0-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
02.04.2011 Rennes Rennes 0-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1

Auxerre 4-0 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
4-0
AWAY Rennes
2.79 xG 0.88
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
255 Passes 440
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Auxerre vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auxerre ran out comfortable winners over Rennes 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Auxerre made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Auxerre had 39% of the ball to Rennes's 61%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.79 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Auxerre and 1.33 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Auxerre vs Rennes?

Auxerre 4-0 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 37%, draw 25%, Rennes 39%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rennes), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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