Nantes vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nantes v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals
Nantes vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Marsilya
FR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Marsilya
FR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Nantes
FR1
3-2
HT 1-2
Nantes
FR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Marsilya
FR1
Nantes 1-2 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics
Marsilya squeezed past Nantes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Nantes had 26% of the ball to Marsilya's 74%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.36 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nantes and 1.83 for Marsilya.
What was the final score of Nantes vs Marsilya?
Nantes 1-2 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nantes vs Marsilya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nantes 31%, draw 23%, Marsilya 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.