Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
12%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.07
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
10%
4.88
X/2
12%
6.56
X/X
10%
4.5
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.66
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 33%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +31%
0.68/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.45
-99% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
22.0 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Montpellier
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 1.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 0-2 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
13.08.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 2-2 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
02.05.2008 Montpellier Montpellier 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
10.12.2007 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR2
14.05.2007 Montpellier Montpellier 2-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
01.12.2006 Le Havre Le Havre 3-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
1-0
AWAY Montpellier
2.18 xG 1.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 10
355 Passes 384
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre squeezed past Montpellier 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Le Havre as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Le Havre had 48% of the ball to Montpellier's 52%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.18 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Havre and 1.00 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Montpellier?

Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 42%, draw 27%, Montpellier 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Havre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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