Toulouse 1-0 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.17
X/2
11%
8.13
X/X
11%
4.58
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
6.35
2/X
10%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.47/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.49
-13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.5 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Reims
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
321 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Reims Reims 2-3 HT 0-3 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
22.10.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
26.02.2023 Reims Reims 3-0 HT 2-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
08.02.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 3-1 HT 2-0 Reims Reims FRK
11.09.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 1-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
14.12.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 0-1 HT 0-1 Reims Reims FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
1-0
AWAY Reims
0.88 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
291 Passes 298
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Toulouse vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse nicked a narrow win over Reims 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Toulouse had 50% of the ball to Reims's 50%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.88 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Toulouse and 1.33 for Reims.

What was the final score of Toulouse vs Reims?

Toulouse 1-0 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 42%, draw 26%, Reims 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Toulouse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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