Istra 1961 0-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.69
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
0.96/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.93
+33% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
225 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
10.6 Crosses 20.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rijeka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.78 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
239 Passes 342
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 3-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
14.04.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
04.02.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
22.10.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
06.08.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 6-0 HT 3-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
06.05.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-2 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-1
AWAY Rijeka
0.30 xG 0.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
204 Passes 235
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka edged past Istra 1961 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Rijeka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 48% of the ball to Rijeka's 52%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.30 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Istra 1961 and 3.00 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Rijeka?

Istra 1961 0-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 28%, draw 31%, Rijeka 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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