Mito HollyHock 1-3 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.13/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.90
+9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
188 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 19.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
323 Passes 401
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
16.07.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-1 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
02.04.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
09.10.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
12.06.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
04.09.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-3
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 343
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata beat Mito HollyHock 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 49% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 51%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.17 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Montedio Yamagata?

Mito HollyHock 1-3 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 29%, draw 24%, Montedio Yamagata 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
3 Nov 2024
07:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
08:00 Ventforet Kofu vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
08:00 Oita Trinita vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Tochigi SC Analysis →
08:00 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Iwaki Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Kagoshima United Analysis →