Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 24%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.70/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.21
-53% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.06.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
14.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.09.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
22.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
20.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
0-1
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
63% Ball Possession 37%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus squeezed past Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 63% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 37%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.33 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 43%, draw 25%, FK Dainava Alytus 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ BTTS No
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