Zalgiris Vilnius 2-4 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.16/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.98
+80% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
16.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
14.04.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
08.10.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
30.07.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
28.05.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-4
AWAY FK Panevezys
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys beat Zalgiris Vilnius 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 64% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 36%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.17 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-4 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 49%, draw 28%, FK Panevezys 23%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
3 Nov 2024
16:00 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Dainava Alytus Analysis →