Aris Saloniki 3-1 Levadiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

Aris Saloniki
3-1 HT 2-1
Levadiakos
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Aris Saloniki vs Levadiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.75
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.0
X/1
16%
3.45
X/2
10%
14.8
X/X
15%
5.45
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
6%
12.95
2/X
5%
20.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aris Saloniki v Levadiakos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.51/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.75
+5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
19.8 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Aris Saloniki vs Levadiakos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Levadiakos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.39 xG 0.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
459 Passes 210
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUK
21.12.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
16.12.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
21.08.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
27.01.2019 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
17.09.2018 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN

Aris Saloniki 3-1 Levadiakos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
3-1
AWAY Levadiakos
1.46 xG 1.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
284 Passes 437
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Levadiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki beat Levadiakos 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 40% of the ball to Levadiakos's 60%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.46 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aris Saloniki and 0.50 for Levadiakos.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Levadiakos?

Aris Saloniki 3-1 Levadiakos in the Greece - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Levadiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 51%, draw 27%, Levadiakos 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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