Atromitos 0-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

Atromitos
0-1 HT 0-1
AEK Atina
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Atromitos vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.95
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
10%
15.75
X/1
7%
9.99
X/2
11%
3.91
X/X
11%
4.95
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.14
2/X
9%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 60%
-13% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
0.55/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.77
-43% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
12.8 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1

Atromitos vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
0W-0D-6L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.54 xG 2.11
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
232 Passes 395
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-5 HT 0-3 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
28.09.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
08.03.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
16.10.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
23.01.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
17.10.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN

Atromitos 0-1 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
0-1
AWAY AEK Atina
0.32 xG 0.79
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
178 Passes 425
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina edged past Atromitos 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Atromitos had 35% of the ball to AEK Atina's 65%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.32 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Atromitos and 2.33 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs AEK Atina?

Atromitos 0-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 24%, draw 29%, AEK Atina 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
3 Nov 2024
17:30 Aris Saloniki vs Levadiakos Analysis →
18:00 Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos Analysis →
21:30 Lamia vs PAOK Analysis →