Lamia 1-2 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

Lamia
1-2 HT 1-0
PAOK
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
57%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
12.4
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
8%
19.95
X/1
7%
14.9
X/2
23%
3.5
X/X
8%
6.05
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.71
2/X
5%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 71%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
0.65/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.69
-23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
12.6 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY PAOK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.50 xG 1.84
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
212 Passes 515
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 48
9 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.04.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-1 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
03.04.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-1 HT 1-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
03.03.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
04.12.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
13.04.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-1 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUK
08.03.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-5 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
1-2
AWAY PAOK
0.50 xG 1.42
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
107 Passes 409
55% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 48
5 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamia vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK nicked a narrow win over Lamia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lamia had 27% of the ball to PAOK's 73%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.50 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lamia and 2.50 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Lamia vs PAOK?

Lamia 1-2 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lamia 21%, draw 22%, PAOK 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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