Volos NFC 0-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

Volos NFC
0-1 HT 0-1
Panathinaikos
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.02
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
16%
8.79
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
17.15
X/1
10%
10.45
X/2
15%
3.69
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.08
2/X
6%
16.2
Value flag · 1/1 at 8.79 — our 16% vs market 7.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
18%
+14.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
42%
Away Win
58%
-15.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volos NFC v Panathinaikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.02/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.99
+15% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
16.7 Crosses 15.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.21 xG 2.13
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
154 Passes 577
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-3 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
26.08.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-0 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
26.04.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
02.04.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
18.02.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
11.01.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK

Volos NFC 0-1 Panathinaikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
0-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.51 xG 3.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
194 Passes 478
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 39
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos squeezed past Volos NFC 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Volos NFC had 34% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 66%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 0.51 to 3.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panathinaikos's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Volos NFC and 2.00 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos?

Volos NFC 0-1 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 32%, draw 25%, Panathinaikos 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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