Platense 1-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.99
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
6.18
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.35
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.75
X/1
20%
3.74
X/2
6%
9.64
X/X
20%
3.73
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
7%
9.51
2/X
5%
19.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.02/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.36
-29% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
25.3 Crosses 17.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.80 xG 0.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
272 Passes 218
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2025 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
27.11.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
14.04.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ARJ
26.11.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
09.07.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
26.06.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
1-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.21 xG 1.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
155 Passes 160
59% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Platense vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense and CA Sarmiento couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Platense at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Platense had 52% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 48%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.21 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Platense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Platense and 0.17 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Platense vs CA Sarmiento?

Platense 1-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Platense 50%, draw 32%, CA Sarmiento 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Platense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Platense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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