Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
4-2
HT 2-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo
BRK
Vasco da Gama 0-2 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo got the better of Vasco da Gama 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Vasco da Gama at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 62% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 38%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.83 to 1.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.83 for Sao Paulo.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo?
Vasco da Gama 0-2 Sao Paulo in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 44%, draw 27%, Sao Paulo 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama) went the other way.