Bologna 4-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.68
Over
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.73
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
22%
4.38
6+
11%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.45
X/1
25%
3.58
X/2
6%
11.6
X/X
15%
4.74
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
7%
10.25
2/X
4%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bologna win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza The Market 19%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.88/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.66
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +98% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.4 Crosses 23.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Monza
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.15 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
433 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2024 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
13.04.2024 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
28.09.2023 Monza Monza 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
12.02.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-1 HT 0-1 Monza Monza İTA
31.10.2022 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
4-0
AWAY Monza
2.44 xG 0.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
453 Passes 370
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna cruised past Monza 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bologna had 53% of the ball to Monza's 47%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.44 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Bologna and 0.60 for Monza.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Monza?

Bologna 4-0 Monza in the Italy - Cup on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bologna 57%, draw 24%, Monza 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ BTTS No
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