Johor DT 0-0 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
15%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.15
X/1
22%
3.72
X/2 EV+ ✗
12%
14.0
X/X
8%
7.01
2/1
7%
21.0
2/2
9%
10.4
2/X
6%
18.65
Value flag · X/2 at 14.0 — our 12% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Johor DT EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 18%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.76/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.89
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
18.0 Crosses 12.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Johor DT
0-0
AWAY Buriram United
0.40 xG 0.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
279 Passes 395
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Johor DT vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Johor DT and Buriram United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Johor DT at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Johor DT had 42% of the ball to Buriram United's 58%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.40 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Johor DT vs Buriram United?

Johor DT 0-0 Buriram United in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Johor DT vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Johor DT win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Johor DT 52%, draw 22%, Buriram United 26%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Johor DT) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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