Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
8%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.32 — our 28% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
13.35
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
9%
21.7
X/1
7%
17.15
X/2
13%
4.09
X/X
9%
7.41
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.84
2/X
7%
20.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.7pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-12.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 70%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.07/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.12
+0% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 84%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
15.7 Crosses 13.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.07 xG 2.14
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
173 Passes 450
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 36
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2020 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
14.09.2019 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-3 HT 0-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0-3
AWAY Stuttgart
0.64 xG 2.05
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
184 Passes 545
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 37
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart cruised past Jahn Regensburg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 30% of the ball to Stuttgart's 70%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.64 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 2.50 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Stuttgart?

Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Stuttgart in the Germany - DFB Cup on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 22%, draw 25%, Stuttgart 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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