Bayern Münih vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayern Münih v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Bayern Münih vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
2-1
HT 0-1
Bayern Münih
AL1
4-0
HT 3-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
1-1
HT 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
Bayern Münih 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen nicked a narrow win over Bayern Münih 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Bayern Münih at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bayern Münih had 58% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 42%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.89 to 1.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.50 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayern Münih 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - DFB Cup on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 47%, draw 21%, Bayer Leverkusen 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.