Werder Bremen 1-0 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.1
X/1
24%
4.36
X/2
9%
13.4
X/X
11%
7.06
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
12%
9.8
2/X
5%
18.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.71/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.33
+53% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
32.0 Crosses 21.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.95 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
01.10.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 4-2 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
19.03.2022 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
17.10.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL2
04.03.2017 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
01.10.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-2 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
1-0
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.84 xG 0.16
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
632 Passes 285
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen edged past Darmstadt 98 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Werder Bremen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 66% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 34%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.84 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Werder Bremen's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.67 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Darmstadt 98?

Werder Bremen 1-0 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - DFB Cup on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 49%, draw 23%, Darmstadt 98 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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