Werder Bremen 1-1 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
15%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.13
X/2
10%
9.52
X/X
13%
5.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.25
2/2
8%
6.81
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.25 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.49/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.65
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.2 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.00 xG 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
343 Passes 216
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 4-2 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
19.03.2022 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
17.10.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL2
04.03.2017 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
01.10.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-2 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
27.02.2016 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-2 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
1-1
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.82 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
450 Passes 334
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen and Darmstadt 98 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 55% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 45%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.82 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.83 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Darmstadt 98?

Werder Bremen 1-1 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 50%, draw 26%, Darmstadt 98 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Werder Bremen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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