Mönchengladbach 5-2 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

Mönchengladbach
5-2 HT 2-0
Bochum
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Mönchengladbach vs Bochum Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.35
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.83
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
17%
4.95
X/2
8%
6.97
X/X
15%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
15%
4.56
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Bochum — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.94/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.35
+24% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.2 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mönchengladbach vs Bochum Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bochum
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.89 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
310 Passes 246
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-3 HT 0-3 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
06.05.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
08.11.2022 Bochum Bochum 2-1 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
18.03.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-2 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
31.10.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-1 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
06.09.2014 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-4 HT 1-2 Bochum Bochum HAZ

Mönchengladbach 5-2 Bochum — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
5-2
AWAY Bochum
3.65 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach swept aside Bochum 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mönchengladbach as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 49% of the ball to Bochum's 51%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 3.65 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.33 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Bochum?

Mönchengladbach 5-2 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 45%, draw 27%, Bochum 28%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✓ Over 2.5
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