Stuttgart 1-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

Stuttgart
1-1 HT 0-0
Köln
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Stuttgart vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.7
X/1
17%
3.47
X/2
5%
16.7
X/X
10%
7.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.3
2/2
6%
13.2
2/X
4%
21.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-6.7pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
2.42/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.03
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
492 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.8 Crosses 17.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Stuttgart vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Köln
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.14 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Köln Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
18.02.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-0 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
20.11.2022 Köln Köln 2-4 HT 0-4 Stuttgart Stuttgart HAZ
28.08.2022 Köln Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
14.05.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
19.12.2021 Köln Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1

Stuttgart 1-1 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
1-1
AWAY Köln
2.30 xG 0.70
75% Ball Possession 25%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
765 Passes 206
91% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 18
34 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart and Köln couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Stuttgart carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stuttgart had 75% of the ball to Köln's 25%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.30 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stuttgart and 0.67 for Köln.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Köln?

Stuttgart 1-1 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 63%, draw 21%, Köln 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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