Briton Ferry 2-1 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.7pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Newtown
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.09.2024 Newtown Newtown 1-0 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry squeezed past Newtown 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Briton Ferry made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Newtown?

Briton Ferry 2-1 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 30%, draw 31%, Newtown 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newtown) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newtown) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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