Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-1
HT 5-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
4-1
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GALWK
Connahs Quay 1-1 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay and Caernarfon Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Connahs Quay had 62% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 38%, shots finished 12-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.67 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Connahs Quay 1-1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 37%, draw 24%, Caernarfon Town 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caernarfon Town), BTTS No went the other way.