Real Murcia 3-2 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 3 Dec 2025

Real Murcia
3-2 HT 3-0
Cadiz
📅03/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Copa del Rey – 2025/2026

Real Murcia vs Cadiz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Murcia v Cadiz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-17% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Real Murcia vs Cadiz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cadiz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
23.05.2010 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
20.12.2009 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-2 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
10.02.2007 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
10.09.2006 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
13.03.2005 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
10.10.2004 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-2 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2

Real Murcia 3-2 Cadiz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
3-2
AWAY Cadiz
1.72 xG 2.55
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 472
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia nicked a narrow win over Cadiz 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Real Murcia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Murcia had 41% of the ball to Cadiz's 59%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.72 to 2.55 — on chances, Cadiz could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Murcia and 1.00 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Cadiz?

Real Murcia 3-2 Cadiz in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 35%, draw 31%, Cadiz 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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