Talavera CF vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Talavera CF v Malaga — Team-Based Signals
Talavera CF 2-1 Malaga — Actual Match Statistics
Talavera CF squeezed past Malaga 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Malaga at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Talavera CF had 33% of the ball to Malaga's 67%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.35 to 1.70.
What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Malaga?
Talavera CF 2-1 Malaga in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Malaga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 27%, draw 24%, Malaga 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malaga) went the other way.