Eldense vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Eldense v Almeria — Team-Based Signals
Eldense vs Almeria Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Eldense 2-1 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics
Eldense edged past Almeria 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Almeria at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Eldense had 58% of the ball to Almeria's 42%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 1.33 to 0.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eldense and 2.50 for Almeria.
What was the final score of Eldense vs Almeria?
Eldense 2-1 Almeria in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Eldense vs Almeria?
Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Eldense 22%, draw 26%, Almeria 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almeria) went the other way.