Mirandes 0-2 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 39%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.57/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.06
+31% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.53 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
251 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
18.04.2025 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-1 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
18.12.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
07.04.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
20.08.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-0 HT 3-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
12.03.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 3-4 HT 1-2 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
0-2
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.50 xG 0.55
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 1
416 Passes 205
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
8 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon beat Mirandes 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mirandes had 64% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 36%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.50 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mirandes and 2.33 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon?

Mirandes 0-2 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 30%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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