Independiente Petrolero 3-1 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+4.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.45/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.64
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.8 Crosses 15.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Guabira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
232 Passes 235
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.08.2025 Guabira Guabira 3-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLPLK
01.07.2025 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
21.05.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLPLK
28.10.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.07.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
09.04.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3-1
AWAY Guabira
2.72 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
406 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero saw off Guabira 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 54% of the ball to Guabira's 46%, shots finished 21-22, expected goals 2.72 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.33 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira?

Independiente Petrolero 3-1 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 57%, draw 20%, Guabira 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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