Mura 1-2 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

Mura
1-2 HT 1-1
Nafta
📅03/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.82
Over 2.5
58%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
27%
+13.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
51%
-9.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
49%
+9.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-26% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Nafta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Nafta Nafta 4-2 HT 1-1 Mura Mura SLVN
02.02.2025 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
28.09.2024 Nafta Nafta 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
20.07.2024 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
24.06.2020 Nafta Nafta 0-2 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-2
AWAY Nafta
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mura vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta nicked a narrow win over Mura 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Nafta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mura had 56% of the ball to Nafta's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mura had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mura and 0.80 for Nafta.

What was the final score of Mura vs Nafta?

Mura 1-2 Nafta in the Slovenia - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mura 37%, draw 23%, Nafta 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVNK More Slovenia - Cup
3 Dec 2025
15:00 NK Bravo vs Rudar Velenje Analysis →
15:00 Radomlje vs Primorje Analysis →