04/01/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Afief vs Al-Rayyan Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
37%
4-5
31%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
27%
Home Win
37%
31%
Draw
33%
41%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Afief v Al-Rayyan — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Afief
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Rayyan
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
295 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
307 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Afief vs Al-Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Afief and Al-Rayyan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
Our pre-match lean was Al-Rayyan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Afief vs Al-Rayyan?
Afief 2-2 Al-Rayyan in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Afief vs Al-Rayyan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Afief 27%, draw 31%, Al-Rayyan 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al-Rayyan) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al-Rayyan)
✓ BTTS Yes
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SUUD2
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