04/01/2024
·
15:25
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Al Zulfi vs Mudhar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
37%
4-5
29%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Al Zulfi win — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
61%
Home Win
81%
21%
Draw
12%
18%
Away Win
7%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Zulfi v Mudhar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Zulfi
The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mudhar
The Market 9%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+82% /
+82%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
–
63%
Ball Possession
37%
16
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
3
538 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
216 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Zulfi vs Mudhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Zulfi squeezed past Mudhar 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Zulfi as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Zulfi vs Mudhar?
Al Zulfi 3-2 Mudhar in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Zulfi vs Mudhar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zulfi win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Zulfi 61%, draw 21%, Mudhar 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zulfi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Zulfi)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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SUUD2
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4 Jan 2024