04/01/2024
·
15:25
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al-Washm vs Al Suqoor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
19%
21%
Draw
27%
45%
Away Win
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Washm v Al Suqoor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Washm
The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Suqoor
The Market 57%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
214 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
544 · 88%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al-Washm vs Al Suqoor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Suqoor squeezed past Al-Washm 2-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Suqoor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Al-Washm vs Al Suqoor?
Al-Washm 1-2 Al Suqoor in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Washm vs Al Suqoor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Suqoor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al-Washm 34%, draw 21%, Al Suqoor 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Suqoor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Suqoor)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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SUUD2
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4 Jan 2024