Al-Lewaa 1-1 Najran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2024

📅04/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.27
Draw
29%
5.28
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
52%
4-5
17%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
32%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Al-Lewaa win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.8pp
29%
Draw
16%
+13.2pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Lewaa The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Najran The Market 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +0%
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
537 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al-Lewaa vs Najran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Lewaa and Najran shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Al-Lewaa carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al-Lewaa vs Najran?

Al-Lewaa 1-1 Najran in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Lewaa vs Najran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Lewaa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al-Lewaa 60%, draw 29%, Najran 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al-Lewaa) ✗ BTTS No
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