Inverness CT 2-0 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
0.87/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.02
-53% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
2.5 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
26.10.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
03.08.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
18.07.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
18.04.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
14.04.2018 Inverness CT Inverness CT 5-1 HT 2-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
24.03.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCK
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT got the better of Dumbarton 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inverness CT as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Inverness CT and 1.17 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Dumbarton?

Inverness CT 2-0 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 46%, draw 25%, Dumbarton 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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