Dumbarton 3-1 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.95/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
+24% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +50%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
264 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Inverness CT
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
03.08.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
18.07.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
18.04.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
14.04.2018 Inverness CT Inverness CT 5-1 HT 2-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
24.03.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCK
16.12.2017 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton beat Inverness CT 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dumbarton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dumbarton and 1.67 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Inverness CT?

Dumbarton 3-1 Inverness CT in the Scotland - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 39%, draw 28%, Inverness CT 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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