Stenhousemuir 2-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
14%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.67/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.96
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
10.08.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
26.03.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
08.03.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
20.11.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
28.08.2021 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-4 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir edged past Kelty Hearts 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Stenhousemuir found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Stenhousemuir and 2.00 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?

Stenhousemuir 2-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 37%, draw 24%, Kelty Hearts 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kelty Hearts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
26 Oct 2024
17:00 Dumbarton vs Inverness CT Analysis →
17:00 Montrose vs Cove Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath Analysis →
19:30 Annan Athletic vs Queen Of The South Analysis →