Alloa Athletic 0-1 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 33% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.3pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.61/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.88
+1% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 1.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Arbroath
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
11.10.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCK
31.08.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 0-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
03.04.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
13.02.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
12.12.2020 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
21.01.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath nicked a narrow win over Alloa Athletic 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alloa Athletic and 0.50 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath?

Alloa Athletic 0-1 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 43%, draw 25%, Arbroath 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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