Orlando Pirates 3-0 Stade d Abidjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.05
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
8.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.39
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
30.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
33%
3.28
X/2
6%
28.5
X/X
10%
8.37
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
4%
24.7
2/X
6%
31.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.28 — our 33% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
78%
-10.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.9pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade d Abidjan EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.48/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -44%
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
475 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 189 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 11.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Stade d Abidjan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
396 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Stade d Abidjan Stade d Abidjan 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
3-0
AWAY Stade d Abidjan
2.58 xG 0.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
436 Passes 200
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 6
3 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Stade d Abidjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates swept aside Stade d Abidjan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 61% of the ball to Stade d Abidjan's 39%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.58 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Stade d Abidjan?

Orlando Pirates 3-0 Stade d Abidjan in the CAF Champions League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Stade d Abidjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 67%, draw 20%, Stade d Abidjan 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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