Tottenham 1-1 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 Jan 2026

Tottenham
1-1 HT 1-0
Sunderland
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Tottenham vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.72
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.52
X/2
10%
7.68
X/X
16%
4.44
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
9%
6.13
2/X
4%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tottenham v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -28%
1.72/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.64
+9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.1 Crosses 18.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Tottenham vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sunderland
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.58 xG 0.21
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
477 Passes 204
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.01.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
18.09.2016 Tottenham Tottenham 1-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
16.01.2016 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 1-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
13.09.2015 Sunderland Sunderland 0-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
17.01.2015 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 1-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
13.09.2014 Sunderland Sunderland 2-2 HT 1-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP

Tottenham 1-1 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
1-1
AWAY Sunderland
1.18 xG 0.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
284 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham and Sunderland couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tottenham at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tottenham had 49% of the ball to Sunderland's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tottenham and 0.67 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Sunderland?

Tottenham 1-1 Sunderland in the England - Premier League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 49%, draw 27%, Sunderland 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tottenham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Under 2.5
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