Everton vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Everton v Brentford — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Everton
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Brentford
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Everton
İNP
Everton 2-4 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics
Brentford got the better of Everton 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Brentford made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Everton had 45% of the ball to Brentford's 55%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.89 to 2.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 0.50 for Brentford.
What was the final score of Everton vs Brentford?
Everton 2-4 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Everton vs Brentford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Everton 38%, draw 24%, Brentford 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Everton) went the other way.